decisionDecision (lineup)Oct 24, 6:34 PM
{"plan":"lp-2026-10-24-6aa49a5b2737","changes":[]}
Why: No change: server state (re-read 22:32Z) = target_slots. Sheppard still Q (ESPN DTD 17:18Z); bench Bailey/Leonard/Clingan have no game today, so no swap exists either way.
Inbox →ILLineup 2026-10-24 · 2 movesverifiedOct 24, 2:36 PM
Fred VanVleet: G → IL · Jalen Brunson: BN → G
verified 2026-10-24T18:36:04.509649+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-24
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup)Oct 24, 2:34 PM
{"fred-vanvleet":"IL","jalen-brunson":"G"}
Why: plan lp-2026-10-24-57bb3036fb0a: VanVleet ruled out (Yahoo O; ESPN 17:16Z) -> IL; Brunson (no game today) fills G; Sheppard Q stays at Util (no bench player has a game today)
Inbox →lineupLineup 2026-10-24 · 2 movesverifiedOct 24, 11:20 AM
Julian Champagnie: BN → SF · Ace Bailey: SF → BN
verified 2026-10-24T15:20:35.214462+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-24
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 24, 11:19 AM
{"changes":[{"to":"SF","from":"BN","player":"julian-champagnie"},{"to":"BN","from":"SF","player":"ace-bailey"}]}
Why: Same eligibility; only player-days with games score
Inbox →add/dropAdd Champagnie into the open spot today (no drop); Bailey laterdoneOct 24, 11:19 AM
Add Julian Champagnie (SAS, FA) now, no drop. Drop Bailey when Podziemski leaves IL (separate yes).
Why: • Same player you approved three times (vs Bailey); approvals expired after Yahoo #174 refusals. • Today Bailey (UTA) has no game, Champagnie does: +1 game for the week at no cost. • Season numbers: sim compare 2 seeds x 3000, season-sim-0.7.0, ros-proj-0.4.0.
Inbox →add/dropadd 2026-10-24verifiedOct 24, 11:19 AM
verified 2026-10-24T15:19:23.610839+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-24 + /nba/44495/transactions
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: Add Julian Champagnie (FA) into the open roster spot today, no drop (Podziemski on IL); execute before 8 PM ETapprovedOct 24, 11:18 AM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: CORRECTED (replaces apr-567042aa, which had a wrong Yahoo id): add Julian Champagnie (FA, Yahoo 6754) into the open spot, no drop; before 8 PM ETapprovedOct 24, 11:18 AM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →approvaladd approval: Add Julian Champagnie (FA), no drop — open spot from Podziemski IL; before 8 PM ET SatapprovedOct 24, 11:18 AM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →add/dropAdd Champagnie (free agent), drop Bailey — rechecked on fixed modelsexpiredOct 24, 10:47 AM
Add Julian Champagnie (SAS, SF/PF, free agent); drop Ace Bailey.
Why: • Champagnie: 3s, rebounds, few turnovers; projects more games than Bailey. • Helps under blend and market; holds on preseason projections too. • Bailey, not Fears: Fears only looks weaker after 1 game (fails on preseason projections).
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 24, 10:46 AM
{"changes":[{"to":"IL","from":"BN","player":"brandin-podziemski"}]}
Why: Applied target_slots (Podziemski Yahoo O). Sheppard Q starts; no bench player with a game to swap.
Inbox →ILLineup 2026-10-24 · 1 moveverifiedOct 24, 10:46 AM
Brandin Podziemski: BN → IL
verified 2026-10-24T14:46:39.536750+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-24
Inbox →add/dropadd_dropfailedOct 24, 1:01 AM
error: Yahoo #174 again at 01:00 ET 2026-10-24 (Yahoo's day had not rolled over; page still showed Oct 23 results); server re-read: roster unchanged, Bailey still on team 11
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: RETRY after midnight ET: add Champagnie (FA), drop Bailey — same move; Yahoo refused tonight because both had games in progressapprovedOct 23, 11:18 PM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →add/dropadd_dropfailedOct 23, 11:00 PM
error: Yahoo POST /nba/44495/11/addplayer -> error #174 'A player has already played and is no longer editable for today' (Bailey/Champagnie games in progress 2026-10-23 ~23:05 ET); server re-read: roster unchanged, Bailey still on team 11
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: Add Julian Champagnie (FA), drop Ace Bailey — same move you approved as apr-fb25a2a6approvedOct 23, 10:57 PM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: Add Julian Champagnie (FA), drop Ace Bailey (rechecked on fixed models)approvedOct 23, 10:51 PM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup)Oct 23, 7:19 AM
{"plan":"lp-2026-10-23-21ff8c20e7ed","changes":[]}
Why: Yahoo server re-read equals target_slots (13/13); P(win week) 0.50 analytic; Sheppard Q starts, Podziemski Q benched, decide before HOU tip 21:30 ET
Inbox →add/dropAdd Champagnie (now a free agent), drop BaileyexpiredOct 22, 9:55 PM
Julian Champagnie (SAS, SF/PF) went unclaimed on waivers and is a free agent: add now, drop Ace Bailey.
Why: • Champagnie: 3s, rebounds, few turnovers; projects ~10 more games than Bailey. • Playoffs +0.4 to +0.7 pp, title +0.6 to +1.0 pp (season-sim-0.6.0 paired, simulated). • Free agent now: instant add, no waiver priority (we are already last).
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: Add Julian Champagnie (FA), drop Ace BaileyexpiredOct 22, 9:54 PM
Why: expired without a decision
Inbox →decisionDecision (add_drop) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 22, 7:28 AM
{"add":"julian-champagnie","drop":"ace-bailey","action":"request user approval"}
Why: robust in both projection sets; Champagnie-for-Podziemski rests on low-confidence gp drop (preseason -0.22+-0.30) so not recommended
Inbox →add/dropClaim Champagnie, drop BaileyexpiredOct 22, 7:28 AM
Waiver claim on Julian Champagnie (SAS, SF/PF); drop Ace Bailey. Claim before Thu Oct 22.
Why: • Champagnie: 3s, rebounds, few turnovers; ~10 more games than Bailey (72 vs 62). • Title odds +1.6 to +2.4 pp, playoffs +0.7 to +1.1 pp (simulated, > 2 SE). • Unmodelled costs: we drop to last waiver priority; lose Bailey's rookie upside.
Inbox →tradeAccept-shape: VanVleet for Mobley + Edgecombe + Nurkić (Jesse)rejectedOct 22, 7:20 AM
Give Fred VanVleet; get Evan Mobley, VJ Edgecombe, Jusuf Nurkić (Out); then drop Nurkić and Jeremiah Fears.
Why: • Mobley (big: rebounds, blocks, FG%) + Edgecombe (young guard) for one 32-year-old guard. • Title +5.9 / +8.9 / +7.0 pp, playoffs +2.5 / +4.7 / +5.7 pp (simulated, 5 seeds). • Schedule-neutral still +1.8 ± 0.5 pp title, +2.4 pp playoffs: part of the gain is playoff-week games. • Roster fits: Nurkić (Out) is dropped, Fears is the weakest remaining player.
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup)Oct 22, 7:19 AM
{"plan":"lp-2026-10-22-a3c41f8ea9b0","changes":[{"to":"BN","from":"IL","player":"brandin-podziemski"}]}
Why: lineup-0.3.0 target_slots; Podziemski O->Q (ESPN DTD back), league IL rule Out-only; P(win wk) 0.59
Inbox →lineupLineup 2026-10-22 · 1 moveverifiedOct 22, 7:19 AM
Brandin Podziemski: IL → BN
verified 2026-10-22T11:19:27.323143+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-22
Inbox →approvaltrade approval: Propose to jesse's Phenomenal Team: Fred VanVleet for Evan Mobley + VJ Edgecombe + Jusuf Nurkić (then drop Nurkić and Jeremiah Fears)rejectedOct 21, 7:03 PM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →approvaltrade approval: Propose to jesse's Phenomenal Team: Fred VanVleet for VJ Edgecombe + Jusuf Nurkić (then drop Nurkić)rejectedOct 21, 7:03 PM
decided by dashboard
Inbox →approvaladd/drop approval: Waiver claim Julian Champagnie, drop Ace Bailey (claim before waivers clear Thu Oct 22)expiredOct 21, 7:00 PM
Why: expired without a decision
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 21, 7:22 AM
{"changes":[]}
Why: Yahoo already equals target_slots for 10-21; 10-22..10-25 active players with games all started (server re-read)
Inbox →decisionDecision (trade) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 21, 7:22 AM
{"class":"helps","trade":"VanVleet->Mobley+Edgecombe+Nurkic","action":"approval requested"}
Why: helps in all 3 projection sets (title +5.9/+8.9/+7.0 pp) and schedule-neutral (+1.8 pp); needs user yes
Inbox →tradeOffer VanVleet for Edgecombe + Nurkić (Jesse)expiredOct 21, 7:22 AM
Give Fred VanVleet; get VJ Edgecombe + Jusuf Nurkić (Out), then drop Nurkić and add a free agent.
Why: • Edgecombe: young guard, more games, steals and threes; VanVleet is 32. • Title +2.5 to +3.9 pp, playoffs +0.9 to +1.3 pp, +0.5 to +0.8 cat wins (simulated). • Not a schedule bet: only one extra playoff-week game.
Inbox →ILLineup 2026-10-21 · 1 moveverifiedOct 20, 10:44 PM
Brandin Podziemski: BN → IL
verified 2026-10-21T02:44:37.580518+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=D (no-store) for D=10-20..10-25
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 20, 10:43 PM
{"2026-10-21":"Podziemski BN->IL; rest unchanged","2026-10-22..25":"already = target except Podziemski IL"}
Why: User reported clicking Start Active; re-read all week days: starters already match optimizer targets. Only change: Podziemski O -> IL (pre-authorised).
Inbox →tradeMurray trades: schedule bet, not nowideaOct 20, 4:08 PM
Ware + VanVleet (or Brunson + Bailey) for Jamal Murray. Revisit near the Mar 4 deadline.
Why: • Brunson+Bailey→Murray: title +4 to +8 pp, but Yeet loses 1-6 pp playoffs. • Ware+VanVleet→Murray: title up, playoffs and category wins down (speculative).
Inbox →lineupLineup 2026-10-22 · 2 movesverifiedOct 20, 12:48 AM
Nikola Jokić: BN → C · Donovan Clingan: C → BN
verified 2026-10-20T04:48:27.603489+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-22
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup)Oct 20, 12:47 AM
{"2026-10-20":[],"2026-10-22":[{"to":"C","from":"BN","player":"nikola-jokic"},{"to":"BN","from":"C","player":"donovan-clingan"}]}
Why: lineup-0.2.0: today matches Yahoo; 10-21 already set (same starters); 10-22 only Jokic plays -> set in advance
Inbox →streamWeek 1 streaming: no add/dropdoneOct 20, 12:38 AM
No add/drop in week 1: best streamers gain < 2.5 per-game G units vs dropping Fears costing 2-4 pp P(playoffs) (simulated).
Inbox →lineupLineup 2026-10-21 · 5 movesverifiedOct 20, 12:04 AM
Nikola Jokić: C → BN · Jalen Brunson: PG → BN · Kel'el Ware: Util → C · Jeremiah Fears: BN → PG · Reed Sheppard: BN → Util
verified 2026-10-20T04:04:22.086374+00:00 by re-reading /nba/44495/11/team?&date=2026-10-21
Inbox →decisionDecision (lineup) · overrides the modeloverrideOct 20, 12:02 AM
{"bench":["brandin-podziemski","jalen-brunson","nikola-jokic"]}
Why: Brunson/Jokic have no game Wed; Podziemski Q (p_play prior 0.5) benched, re-check before GSW tip 10pm ET
Inbox →